Essentially, there is no clear indicator to make a confident forecast one way or another. NOAA’s flagship weather model, the Global Forecast System, was upgraded in 2019, reflecting years of advancing leading. WATCH: The Latest Weather Video Pinpoint Weather 12 Video Weather forecast and. This doesn’t mean these areas will see near-normal precipitation, but rather that these areas have an equal chance of above-normal, below-normal or near-normal precipitation. Statement from NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad on the signing of the. Some of the most populated areas, along the coasts, for example, fall in the “equal chances” category. Only Washington state and Florida are looking wetter than usual, while Colorado, Utah, southern Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky all have especially high chances of a dry meteorological fall. The rain outlook isn’t quite as clear, but favors a drier-than-normal season for a large swath of the country. NOAAs GOES West and the Himawari-8 satellites. NOAA’s 90-day temperature outlook shows warmer-than-average weather for nearly the entire country. The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Haapai volcano in the South Pacific Kingdom of Tonga erupted on Jan. The darker shades of orange around Colorado and the Northeast mean those states are the most likely to see hotter-than-average temperatures. The map below shows nearly the entire country in shades or orange, indicating NOAA’s forecast for a warm fall. La Niña just won’t quit: What that means for fall weather
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